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Red84
94729.0
81127.8
238345.6
Blue39
31609.5
766214.4
35079.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7838020601001201401608439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+19Teleop
+27Endgame
+45Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
9Leave3
3Coral scored#0
14Coral points0
23Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +1
4Coral scored#4
15Coral points14
0Processor algae#1
2Net algae#1
0Processor points6
8Net points4
8Algae points10
23Total teleop24
Reef
3L4#1
2L3#1
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
9Game pieces#6
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +45
24Foul points6
84Total score39

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
45.60.5
45.344.8
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
red by 31.2
7662
#33
14.40.5
14.914.4
Auto3.8
Teleop10.1
End0.5
Second
9472
#31
9.00.7
8.78.0
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 0.5
3160
#40
9.50.7
10.29.5
Auto0.5
Teleop7.4
End1.6
Third
8112
#20
7.80.5
8.58.0
Auto5.7
Teleop0.4
End1.7
blue by 1.3
3507
#36
9.10.7
9.89.1
Auto1.9
Teleop6.5
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
71%Auto oddsEarned16%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
38%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed