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Red182
393763.3
234120.1
642452.7
Blue58
602621.6
871114.5
452317.8
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15554010020025018258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+104Teleop
+124Endgame
+124Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
37Coral points12
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +79
18Coral scored#7
65Coral points26
3Processor algae#1
9Net algae#2
18Processor points6
36Net points8
54Algae points14
119Total teleop40
Reef
7L4#4
9L3#1
5L2#2
4L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#12
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +124
0Foul points0
182Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.31.0
60.661.6
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 41.7
6026
#19
21.60.1
21.821.8
Auto3.1
Teleop16.9
End1.6
Second
52.71.0
49.950.9
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 34.9
4523
#21
17.80.1
17.917.9
Auto2.3
Teleop12.7
End2.7
Third
2341
#22
20.11.0
17.318.3
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 5.5
8711
#13
14.50.1
14.714.6
Auto3.3
Teleop7.0
End4.1