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Red124
324719.1
317928.4
569038.6
Blue75
235230.9
393121.9
545431.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions989005015020025030035040012475

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+47Teleop
+49Endgame
+49Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points12
15Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +44
17Coral scored#12
61Coral points43
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#2
12Processor points6
28Net points8
40Algae points14
101Total teleop57
Reef
7L4#6
3L3#4
5L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#17
BargeRed +2
8Cage & park6
8Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +49
0Foul points0
124Total score75

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.9
37.638.5
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
red by 7.4
5454
#18
31.20.1
29.529.3
Auto8.3
Teleop20.0
End2.9
Second
28.41.1
27.228.3
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 2.4
30.90.1
29.329.2
Auto3.7
Teleop24.7
End2.5
Third
3247
#17
19.11.1
17.919.0
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
blue by 2.8
3931
#25
21.90.1
20.220.1
Auto4.2
Teleop17.5
End0.3