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Red157
393763.3
234120.1
642452.7
Blue92
324719.1
317928.4
569038.6
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1549305020015792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+55Teleop
+71Endgame
+65Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
9Leave6
4Coral scored#1
21Coral points6
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +37
23Coral scored#12
83Coral points44
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
6Processor points12
12Net points8
18Algae points20
101Total teleop64
Reef
9L4#6
5L3#3
8L2#2
5L1 · trough#2
31Game pieces#17
BargeRed +16
26Cage & park10
26Total endgame10
Penalties & totalRed +65
0Foul points6
157Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
63.30.3
61.661.9
Auto12.5
Teleop43.0
End7.9
red by 24.8
38.60.2
38.538.3
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
Second
52.70.3
50.951.2
Auto12.7
Teleop30.4
End9.6
red by 24.2
28.40.3
28.328.1
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
Third
2341
#22
20.10.3
18.318.6
Auto4.0
Teleop12.3
End3.7
red by 0.9
3247
#17
19.10.3
19.018.7
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7