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Red129
156147.2
94729.0
238345.6
Blue109
239517.2
1021928.7
216530.1
85%Model gave it15%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1289250150200129109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+2Teleop
+18Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
3Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points4
23Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +8
16Coral scored#17
58Coral points60
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#6
18Processor points12
12Net points24
30Algae points36
88Total teleop96
Reef
8L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
26Game pieces#26
BargeRed +16
16Cage & park0
16Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +20
2Foul points0
129Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.20.2
46.746.9
Auto11.3
Teleop30.9
End5.0
red by 17.1
2165
#23
30.10.3
30.130.4
Auto4.5
Teleop23.2
End2.5
Second
45.60.2
45.345.5
Auto10.3
Teleop24.8
End10.4
red by 16.9
28.70.3
28.728.9
Auto2.4
Teleop25.1
End1.2
Third
9472
#31
9.00.2
8.78.9
Auto2.8
Teleop5.2
End0.9
blue by 8.2
2395
#10
17.20.3
17.217.5
Auto4.7
Teleop10.4
End2.1