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Red99
324719.1
317928.4
569038.6
Blue103
313035.4
400546.0
946217.3
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions97101608012014099103

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
+4Teleop
Endgame+4
Fouls+4
AutonomousBlue +14
3Leave3
1Coral scored#4
6Coral points20
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +18
16Coral scored#14
58Coral points52
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
6Processor points6
20Net points8
26Algae points14
84Total teleop66
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#4
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#3
23Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Penalties & totalBlue +4
0Foul points0
99Total score103

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
38.60.3
38.338.6
Auto5.5
Teleop31.8
End1.3
blue by 7.4
46.00.2
44.744.9
Auto7.4
Teleop29.7
End8.9
Second
28.40.4
28.128.4
Auto5.4
Teleop18.5
End4.5
blue by 7.0
35.40.2
34.134.3
Auto3.4
Teleop25.2
End6.9
Third
3247
#17
19.10.4
18.719.1
Auto2.7
Teleop14.8
End1.7
red by 1.8
9462
#14
17.30.2
16.016.3
Auto5.3
Teleop8.8
End3.2