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Red223
368398.3
128539.7
447676.1
Blue233
132567.7
755874.8
373951.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions222190100150250300223233

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+10Teleop
Endgame+10
Fouls+10
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave6
13Coral scored#10
65Coral points52
65Total auto58
TeleoperatedRed +3
26Coral scored#33
92Coral points117
3Processor algae#3
9Net algae#2
18Processor points18
36Net points8
54Algae points26
146Total teleop143
Reef
12L4#19
7L3#14
11L2#5
9L1 · trough#5
51Game pieces#48
BargeBlue +20
6Cage & park26
6Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +10
6Foul points6
223Total score233

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.30.1
97.097.2
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 23.5
74.80.9
72.473.3
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
76.10.1
74.975.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 8.5
67.70.9
65.366.2
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Third
1285
#31
39.70.1
38.538.7
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 11.5
3739
#21
51.20.9
48.849.7
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4