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Red227
132567.7
755874.8
373951.2
Blue213
415270.4
611043.6
978559.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions194181120140160220240260280227213

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
0Teleop0
+20Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
6Leave0
9Coral scored#10
45Coral points51
51Total auto51
Teleoperatedlevel
28Coral scored#27
100Coral points96
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#7
24Processor points24
24Net points28
48Algae points52
148Total teleop148
Reef
11L4#17
9L3#8
10L2#6
7L1 · trough#6
47Game pieces#48
BargeRed +20
26Cage & park6
26Total endgame6
Penalties & totalRed +14
2Foul points8
227Total score213

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.9
71.572.4
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
red by 4.3
4152
#12
70.40.7
69.770.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Second
67.70.9
64.465.3
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
red by 7.8
59.90.7
59.259.9
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
Third
3739
#21
51.20.9
47.948.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
red by 7.6
6110
#35
43.60.7
42.943.6
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4