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Red213
415270.4
611043.6
978559.9
Blue192
136051.2
494044.1
1055448.2
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions202168100150250300350213192

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+20Auto
+21Teleop
+23Endgame
+21Fouls
AutonomousRed +20
6Leave6
7Coral scored#3
34Coral points14
40Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +1
26Coral scored#30
95Coral points108
3Processor algae#4
11Net algae#6
18Processor points24
44Net points24
62Algae points48
157Total teleop156
Reef
13L4#12
7L3#11
9L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
47Game pieces#43
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Penalties & totalRed +21
0Foul points2
213Total score192

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
70.40.5
69.269.7
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
red by 19.3
1360
#18
51.20.5
50.651.2
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Second
59.90.5
58.759.2
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
red by 11.7
48.20.5
47.748.2
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Third
6110
#35
43.60.5
42.442.9
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
blue by 0.4
44.10.5
43.544.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5