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Red213
132567.7
755874.8
373951.2
Blue215
368398.3
128539.7
447676.1
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions186223100150200250300213215

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+10
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
Autonomouslevel
3Leave3
11Coral scored#11
55Coral points55
58Total auto58
TeleoperatedBlue +10
25Coral scored#25
91Coral points89
5Processor algae#3
5Net algae#11
30Processor points18
20Net points44
50Algae points62
141Total teleop151
Reef
15L4#12
12L3#10
5L2#6
4L1 · trough#8
46Game pieces#50
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
213Total score215

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.80.7
70.871.5
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
blue by 23.5
98.30.1
96.997.0
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
67.70.7
63.764.4
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
blue by 8.5
76.10.1
74.874.9
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
Third
3739
#21
51.20.7
47.247.9
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
red by 11.5
1285
#31
39.70.1
38.438.5
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9