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Red56
926315.3
613522.0
270834.8
Blue62
926220.8
952528.8
263427.7
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions655802040801001205662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
Teleop+6
Endgame+6
Fouls+6
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
15Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +12
8Coral scored#10
27Coral points35
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
6Processor points6
4Net points8
10Algae points14
37Total teleop49
Reef
4L4#5
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
11Game pieces#15
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +6
0Foul points0
56Total score62

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2708
#16
34.80.4
28.928.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 6.1
9525
#11
28.80.3
18.118.4
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
Second
6135
#43
22.00.4
20.420.0
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
blue by 5.7
2634
#33
27.70.3
20.721.0
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
Third
9263
#41
15.30.4
13.212.7
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
blue by 5.5
9262
#40
20.80.3
18.518.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
83%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
26%Barge oddsMissed38%Barge oddsMissed