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Red145
293556.4
86558.7
503239.2
Blue102
747530.1
373951.2
503130.4
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14510350200145102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+19Teleop
+21Endgame
+43Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
13Coral points22
19Total auto22
TeleoperatedRed +22
22Coral scored#17
78Coral points62
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
102Total teleop80
Reef
10L4#7
6L3#7
5L2#5
4L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#25
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +43
18Foul points-4
145Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
865
#13
58.70.6
49.849.2
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
red by 7.5
3739
#21
51.20.4
38.338.8
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
Second
2935
#26
56.40.6
52.952.3
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
red by 26.0
5031
#25
30.40.4
29.429.8
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
Third
5032
#30
39.20.6
30.730.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
red by 9.1
7475
#42
30.10.4
32.032.4
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned58%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed