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Red153
965924.3
490785.1
775715.4
Blue214
270834.8
978559.9
368398.3
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11718050100150200250153214

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+53
Endgame+55
Fouls+61
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
7Coral scored#7
33Coral points33
33Total auto33
TeleoperatedBlue +53
21Coral scored#27
74Coral points97
2Processor algae#5
5Net algae#8
12Processor points30
20Net points32
32Algae points62
106Total teleop159
Reef
7L4#13
8L3#8
7L2#7
6L1 · trough#6
35Game pieces#47
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +61
0Foul points6
153Total score214

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.11.9
73.675.5
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
blue by 13.1
98.32.4
90.693.0
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
9659
#27
24.31.9
17.819.8
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 35.7
59.92.4
38.140.5
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
Third
7757
#50
15.41.9
18.720.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 19.5
2708
#16
34.82.4
28.530.9
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
68%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
10%Coral oddsMissed58%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
41%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned