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Qual 102025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red72
926315.3
293556.4
270629.8
Blue128
613522.0
888471.8
571920.2
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9811540608014016018072128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+38
Endgame+50
Fouls+56
AutonomousBlue +28
6Leave0
0Coral scored#7
0Coral points34
6Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +10
10Coral scored#13
36Coral points46
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
12Processor points12
16Net points16
28Algae points28
64Total teleop74
Reef
4L4#8
3L3#5
2L2#5
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +56
0Foul points6
72Total score128

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2935
#26
56.41.4
52.3→50.8
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
blue by 15.4
8884
#4
71.81.2
61.8→63.0
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
Second
2706
#36
29.81.4
28.5→27.0
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
red by 7.8
6135
#43
22.01.2
20.0→21.1
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
9263
#41
15.31.4
12.7→11.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
blue by 4.9
5719
#48
20.21.2
22.8→24.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed30%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
23%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned