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Red152
952528.8
808941.6
373951.2
Blue138
1021824.1
494044.1
611043.6
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1061206080100140160152138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+2
+14Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousBlue +2
0Leave0
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points15
13Total auto15
TeleoperatedRed +16
26Coral scored#19
95Coral points69
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
18Processor points12
12Net points28
30Algae points40
125Total teleop109
Reef
12L4#6
8L3#9
7L2#4
2L1 · trough#3
35Game pieces#31
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
152Total score138

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3739
#21
51.22.6
38.841.4
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
red by 7.2
44.10.7
39.139.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Second
8089
#19
41.62.6
28.431.0
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
blue by 2.0
6110
#35
43.60.7
34.635.4
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Third
9525
#11
28.82.6
18.421.1
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
red by 4.7
24.10.7
24.124.9
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
11%Coral oddsEarned16%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
36%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned