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Red92
503628.7
834928.7
765935.6
Blue204
124178.2
502446.1
132567.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions841765010015020025092204

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+38
Teleop+122
Endgame+112
Fouls+112
AutonomousBlue +38
0Leave6
3Coral scored#9
13Coral points45
13Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +84
11Coral scored#21
41Coral points75
1Processor algae#4
2Net algae#10
6Processor points24
8Net points40
14Algae points64
55Total teleop139
Reef
6L4#11
4L3#10
2L2#6
2L1 · trough#3
17Game pieces#44
BargeRed +10
24Cage & park14
24Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +112
0Foul points0
92Total score204

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7659
#32
35.60.1
30.730.6
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
blue by 42.6
78.23.1
66.169.1
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
Second
5036
#22
28.70.1
26.926.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
blue by 39.0
67.73.1
43.846.9
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Third
8349
#15
28.70.1
24.124.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
blue by 17.5
5024
#14
46.13.1
37.140.2
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed81%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
96%Barge oddsEarned24%Barge oddsEarned