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Red107
1002719.4
136051.2
1055448.2
Blue101
415270.4
1001521.5
1021824.1
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12411580100140160180107101

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+17
+18Teleop
+6Endgame
+6Fouls
AutonomousBlue +17
9Leave3
1Coral scored#6
7Coral points30
16Total auto33
TeleoperatedRed +35
18Coral scored#9
65Coral points34
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
87Total teleop52
Reef
5L4#6
7L3#4
5L2#2
2L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +6
0Foul points0
107Total score101

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1360
#18
51.20.0
46.546.5
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
blue by 19.3
4152
#12
70.40.1
61.461.3
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Second
48.20.0
41.241.2
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
red by 24.1
24.10.1
24.924.7
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Third
19.40.0
18.918.9
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
blue by 2.1
21.50.1
16.716.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
74%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
32%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
9%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned