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Red64
926220.8
663231.6
77115.5
Blue81
503239.2
130531.8
285226.4
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6897501506481

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+29
Endgame+17
Fouls+17
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +36
8Coral scored#16
30Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#2
0Processor points6
4Net points8
4Algae points14
34Total teleop70
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
2L2#5
3L1 · trough#2
12Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
0Foul points0
64Total score81

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6632
#24
31.60.0
28.027.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
blue by 7.6
5032
#30
39.20.3
30.129.8
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Second
9262
#40
20.80.0
18.818.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
blue by 11.0
1305
#17
31.80.3
26.926.6
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Third
771
#49
15.50.0
15.215.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 10.8
2852
#45
26.40.3
25.525.2
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
26%Auto oddsEarned64%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
69%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed