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Red86
591242.6
713616.4
1016724.6
Blue124
808941.6
705824.1
447676.1
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881425010020086124

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
Teleop+28
Endgame+38
Fouls+38
AutonomousBlue +10
6Leave0
3Coral scored#6
13Coral points29
19Total auto29
TeleoperatedBlue +18
13Coral scored#15
45Coral points53
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
6Processor points12
12Net points16
18Algae points28
63Total teleop81
Reef
4L4#7
7L3#8
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
20Game pieces#27
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +38
0Foul points0
86Total score124

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#39
42.60.1
41.541.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
blue by 33.6
76.10.0
71.571.6
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
Second
24.60.1
21.621.7
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
blue by 17.0
8089
#19
41.60.0
31.031.1
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
Third
7136
#44
16.40.1
19.419.5
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
blue by 7.7
7058
#34
24.10.0
17.817.8
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
81%Auto oddsEarned94%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed43%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed77%Barge oddsEarned