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Red156
128539.7
747530.1
490785.1
Blue164
755874.8
263427.7
752057.2
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions157136100120180200156164

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousRed +7
6Leave3
6Coral scored#5
31Coral points27
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +15
24Coral scored#21
87Coral points74
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#7
6Processor points18
12Net points28
18Algae points46
105Total teleop120
Reef
11L4#9
5L3#5
8L2#7
6L1 · trough#5
34Game pieces#36
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
156Total score164

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.10.0
75.575.5
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 10.4
74.81.6
62.764.3
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
1285
#31
39.70.0
40.640.5
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 17.5
7520
#20
57.21.6
47.449.0
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
Third
7475
#42
30.10.0
32.432.3
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
red by 2.4
2634
#33
27.71.6
21.022.7
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned88%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
36%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
65%Barge oddsEarned80%Barge oddsEarned