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Red121
403968.6
952528.8
219835.1
Blue46
503628.7
571920.2
775715.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123755010015020012146

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+25Auto
+69Teleop
+67Endgame
+75Fouls
AutonomousRed +25
6Leave9
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
37Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +44
9Coral scored#4
32Coral points14
3Processor algae#0
3Net algae#1
18Processor points0
12Net points4
30Algae points4
62Total teleop18
Reef
4L4#2
5L3#2
4L2#1
2L1 · trough#0
21Game pieces#6
BargeBlue +2
14Cage & park16
14Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +75
8Foul points0
121Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.5
61.862.3
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
red by 39.9
5036
#22
28.71.7
26.825.1
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
Second
2198
#23
35.10.5
22.422.9
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
red by 14.8
5719
#48
20.21.7
24.022.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Third
9525
#11
28.80.5
21.121.6
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
red by 13.4
7757
#50
15.41.7
20.719.0
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
24%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned