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Red151
270629.8
978559.9
86558.7
Blue142
136051.2
132567.7
926315.3
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12811780100140160151142

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+11
+7Teleop
+9Endgame
+9Fouls
AutonomousBlue +11
3Leave9
5Coral scored#6
27Coral points32
30Total auto41
TeleoperatedRed +18
21Coral scored#18
75Coral points63
1Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
6Processor points12
24Net points12
30Algae points24
105Total teleop87
Reef
8L4#9
6L3#6
5L2#5
7L1 · trough#4
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +9
0Foul points0
151Total score142

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.92.2
40.542.7
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
blue by 7.8
67.72.5
46.949.4
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Second
865
#13
58.72.2
50.853.0
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
red by 7.5
1360
#18
51.22.5
46.549.0
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Third
2706
#36
29.82.2
27.029.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
red by 14.5
9263
#41
15.32.5
11.313.8
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
78%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed31%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsEarned29%Barge oddsEarned