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Red149
447676.1
270834.8
834928.7
Blue118
1021824.1
808941.6
130531.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1549150200149118

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+31Teleop
+31Endgame
+31Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
6Leave0
3Coral scored#2
17Coral points12
23Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +20
21Coral scored#18
74Coral points66
2Processor algae#2
6Net algae#3
12Processor points12
24Net points12
36Algae points24
110Total teleop90
Reef
10L4#7
5L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
32Game pieces#25
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +31
0Foul points0
149Total score118

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.10.2
71.671.8
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
red by 34.6
8089
#19
41.61.1
31.132.2
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
Second
2708
#16
34.80.2
30.931.1
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 3.0
1305
#17
31.81.1
26.627.7
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Third
8349
#15
28.70.2
24.024.2
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 4.6
24.11.1
24.725.8
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
59%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsEarned