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Red92
263427.7
713616.4
502446.1
Blue82
965924.3
873114.9
1055448.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions898660801001201409282

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+20Teleop
+24Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
0Leave3
5Coral scored#3
23Coral points13
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
10Coral scored#11
35Coral points38
1Processor algae#1
5Net algae#1
6Processor points6
20Net points4
26Algae points10
61Total teleop48
Reef
4L4#6
4L3#2
3L2#4
4L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#16
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
2Foul points16
92Total score82

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#14
46.10.5
40.240.7
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
blue by 2.1
48.20.9
41.240.4
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
Second
2634
#33
27.70.5
22.723.2
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
red by 3.4
9659
#27
24.30.9
19.818.9
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
7136
#44
16.40.5
19.520.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
red by 1.5
8731
#37
14.90.9
17.817.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned48%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed16%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed12%Barge oddsMissed