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Red116
765935.6
128539.7
494044.1
Blue113
293556.4
77115.5
747530.1
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13811680100160180200116113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
Teleop+9
+1Endgame
+3Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +16
16Coral scored#19
58Coral points68
3Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
18Processor points12
8Net points20
26Algae points32
84Total teleop100
Reef
5L4#7
3L3#6
4L2#5
5L1 · trough#3
22Game pieces#28
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +3
2Foul points0
116Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.6
39.838.2
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
blue by 12.3
2935
#26
56.40.6
50.850.2
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Second
1285
#31
39.71.6
40.538.9
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
red by 9.6
7475
#42
30.10.6
32.331.7
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
7659
#32
35.61.6
30.629.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
red by 20.1
771
#49
15.50.6
15.214.5
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
61%Auto oddsEarned61%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
24%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsMissed