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Red120
1016724.6
415270.4
705824.1
Blue107
663231.6
611043.6
503239.2
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions115101050150200120107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+25Teleop
+11Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
3Leave6
8Coral scored#2
40Coral points10
43Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +2
16Coral scored#12
59Coral points43
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#5
6Processor points12
8Net points20
14Algae points32
73Total teleop75
Reef
8L4#6
9L3#4
3L2#3
4L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +14
2Cage & park16
2Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
2Foul points0
120Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
70.40.6
61.361.9
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
red by 26.8
6110
#35
43.60.3
35.435.7
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Second
24.60.6
21.722.3
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
blue by 14.6
5032
#30
39.20.3
29.830.1
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Third
7058
#34
24.10.6
17.818.5
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
blue by 7.5
6632
#24
31.60.3
27.928.3
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
68%Barge oddsMissed42%Barge oddsEarned