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Red79
77115.5
130531.8
128539.7
Blue93
1002719.4
373951.2
965924.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions93924060801001201401607993

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+14
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
26Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
9Coral scored#16
31Coral points59
1Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
6Processor points6
12Net points12
18Algae points18
49Total teleop77
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#5
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#21
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
4Foul points4
79Total score93

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1285
#31
39.70.4
38.938.5
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
blue by 11.5
3739
#21
51.20.5
40.040.5
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
Second
1305
#17
31.80.4
27.727.3
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
red by 7.5
9659
#27
24.30.5
18.919.5
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
Third
771
#49
15.50.4
14.514.1
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
blue by 3.9
19.40.5
22.122.6
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
51%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsMissed7%Barge oddsMissed