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Red97
663231.6
571920.2
494044.1
Blue157
873114.9
415270.4
502446.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1051515020097157

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+28
Teleop+68
Endgame+58
Fouls+60
AutonomousBlue +28
0Leave9
1Coral scored#5
6Coral points25
6Total auto34
TeleoperatedBlue +40
9Coral scored#19
31Coral points67
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
59Total teleop99
Reef
3L4#9
3L3#8
2L2#5
2L1 · trough#2
16Game pieces#31
BargeRed +10
26Cage & park16
26Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +60
6Foul points8
97Total score157

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
44.11.4
38.236.8
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
blue by 26.4
4152
#12
70.40.5
61.962.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Second
6632
#24
31.61.4
28.326.9
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
blue by 14.5
5024
#14
46.10.5
40.741.2
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
Third
5719
#48
20.21.4
22.320.9
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
red by 5.3
8731
#37
14.90.5
17.017.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
72%Auto oddsMissed93%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
20%Coral oddsMissed28%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
78%Barge oddsEarned55%Barge oddsEarned