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Red162
705824.1
755874.8
503130.4
Blue77
775715.4
611043.6
613522.0
97%Model gave it3%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions134765010015020016277

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+77Teleop
+89Endgame
+85Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +46
18Coral scored#12
66Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
5Net algae#2
18Processor points6
20Net points8
38Algae points14
104Total teleop58
Reef
8L4#5
7L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#1
32Game pieces#16
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +85
2Foul points6
162Total score77

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.82.5
65.167.5
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
red by 31.1
6110
#35
43.60.8
35.734.9
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Second
5031
#25
30.42.5
28.230.7
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
red by 8.4
6135
#43
22.00.8
19.718.9
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Third
7058
#34
24.12.5
18.520.9
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 8.7
7757
#50
15.40.8
19.018.1
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned87%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
27%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
88%Barge oddsEarned20%Barge oddsMissed