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Red169
1055448.2
263427.7
447676.1
Blue156
285226.4
368398.3
765935.6
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions143166100200250169156

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+37Teleop
+15Endgame
+13Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
6Coral scored#6
28Coral points30
37Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +30
29Coral scored#22
106Coral points80
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
6Processor points6
16Net points12
22Algae points18
128Total teleop98
Reef
11L4#12
13L3#7
8L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
40Game pieces#32
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +13
0Foul points2
169Total score156

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
76.12.2
71.874.0
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
blue by 22.1
98.30.5
93.894.3
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
Second
48.22.2
40.442.6
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
red by 12.6
7659
#32
35.60.5
29.029.5
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
Third
2634
#33
27.72.2
23.225.4
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
red by 1.3
2852
#45
26.40.5
23.824.3
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned76%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
61%Coral oddsEarned59%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
27%Barge oddsMissed79%Barge oddsEarned