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Red192
978559.9
490785.1
293556.4
Blue87
591242.6
270629.8
1001521.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions187815010015020025019287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+87Teleop
+105Endgame
+105Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
0Leave3
7Coral scored#1
37Coral points6
37Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +59
23Coral scored#14
81Coral points52
3Processor algae#2
8Net algae#2
18Processor points12
32Net points8
50Algae points20
131Total teleop72
Reef
13L4#5
9L3#5
4L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
41Game pieces#19
BargeRed +18
24Cage & park6
24Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +105
0Foul points0
192Total score87

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.11.6
75.577.0
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 42.6
5912
#39
42.60.1
41.541.4
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
Second
59.91.6
42.744.3
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
red by 30.1
2706
#36
29.80.1
29.229.1
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Third
2935
#26
56.41.6
50.251.8
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
red by 34.9
21.50.1
17.417.3
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
92%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned18%Barge oddsMissed