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Red95
503239.2
503628.7
873114.9
Blue113
926315.3
86558.7
128539.7
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions801235010015020095113

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+14
Teleop+24
Endgame+20
Fouls+18
AutonomousBlue +14
6Leave9
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points14
9Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +10
16Coral scored#13
58Coral points46
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#5
6Processor points12
4Net points20
10Algae points32
68Total teleop78
Reef
5L4#8
4L3#2
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#3
19Game pieces#23
BargeRed +4
16Cage & park12
16Total endgame12
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +18
2Foul points0
95Total score113

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5032
#30
39.20.2
30.130.3
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
blue by 19.5
865
#13
58.70.5
54.053.5
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
Second
5036
#22
28.70.2
27.527.8
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
blue by 11.0
1285
#31
39.70.5
38.538.1
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
Third
8731
#37
14.90.2
17.517.7
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 0.4
9263
#41
15.30.5
13.813.3
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
58%Auto oddsMissed74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned68%Barge oddsMissed