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Red116
713616.4
1002719.4
755874.8
Blue84
571920.2
834928.7
926220.8
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1356705010015020011684

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
+42Teleop
+32Endgame
+32Fouls
AutonomousRed +14
0Leave9
5Coral scored#0
23Coral points0
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +28
18Coral scored#11
65Coral points41
2Processor algae#2
3Net algae#2
12Processor points12
12Net points8
24Algae points20
89Total teleop61
Reef
8L4#4
6L3#4
4L2#1
5L1 · trough#2
28Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +32
0Foul points0
116Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
74.81.1
67.566.4
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
red by 46.1
8349
#15
28.70.2
24.224.0
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
Second
19.41.1
22.621.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
blue by 1.4
9262
#40
20.80.2
18.718.5
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Third
7136
#44
16.41.1
21.320.1
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
blue by 3.8
5719
#48
20.20.2
20.920.7
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned45%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
77%Barge oddsMissed46%Barge oddsEarned