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Red113
502446.1
747530.1
611043.6
Blue163
270834.8
136051.2
888471.8
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions112164100150200250113163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+21
Teleop+40
Endgame+50
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +21
6Leave9
3Coral scored#7
17Coral points35
23Total auto44
TeleoperatedBlue +19
15Coral scored#22
54Coral points79
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
18Processor points12
12Net points12
30Algae points24
84Total teleop103
Reef
7L4#10
4L3#9
4L2#5
3L1 · trough#5
24Game pieces#34
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
0Foul points0
113Total score163

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5024
#14
46.10.3
41.241.6
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
blue by 25.6
71.81.1
66.167.2
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
Second
6110
#35
43.60.3
34.935.2
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
blue by 7.6
1360
#18
51.21.1
48.649.7
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Third
7475
#42
30.10.3
31.732.1
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
blue by 4.8
2708
#16
34.81.1
32.133.2
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned96%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
39%Coral oddsEarned67%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed64%Barge oddsEarned