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Qual 392025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red198
368398.3
1055448.2
926315.3
Blue171
373951.2
1016724.6
494044.1
98%Model gave it2%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18611350100150200250198171

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+22Auto
+37Teleop
+27Endgame
+27Fouls
AutonomousRed +22
0Leave0
7Coral scored#2
34Coral points12
34Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +15
34Coral scored#31
122Coral points113
3Processor algae#2
5Net algae#5
18Processor points12
20Net points20
38Algae points32
160Total teleop145
Reef
17L4#12
11L3#10
5L2#7
8L1 · trough#4
49Game pieces#40
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +27
0Foul points0
198Total score171

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#3
98.31.2
94.3→95.5
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 47.0
3739
#21
51.22.6
40.5→43.2
Auto9.0
Teleop39.8
End2.4
Second
10554
#28
48.21.2
42.6→43.8
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
red by 4.2
4940
#9
44.12.6
36.8→39.4
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Third
9263
#41
15.31.2
13.3→14.5
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
blue by 9.3
10167
#29
24.62.6
22.3→24.9
Auto5.8
Teleop18.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
82%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
84%Coral oddsEarned29%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
38%Barge oddsMissed21%Barge oddsEarned