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Red181
132567.7
775715.4
293556.4
Blue102
808941.6
285226.4
263427.7
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1418850100150200181102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+18Auto
+79Teleop
+79Endgame
+79Fouls
AutonomousRed +18
0Leave3
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points9
30Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +61
27Coral scored#16
97Coral points58
2Processor algae#1
7Net algae#3
12Processor points6
28Net points12
40Algae points18
137Total teleop76
Reef
13L4#7
11L3#6
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#2
42Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +79
0Foul points0
181Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
67.73.1
50.653.7
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
red by 26.1
8089
#19
41.60.3
33.233.5
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
Second
2935
#26
56.43.1
51.854.9
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
red by 28.7
2634
#33
27.70.3
25.425.7
Auto4.3
Teleop22.4
End0.9
Third
7757
#50
15.43.1
18.121.2
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
blue by 11.0
2852
#45
26.40.3
24.324.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
52%Auto oddsEarned70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsEarned