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Red158
663231.6
415270.4
130531.8
Blue133
613522.0
765935.6
490785.1
35%Model gave it65%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions125139100150200158133

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+25Teleop
+25Endgame
+25Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
9Leave3
6Coral scored#6
31Coral points31
40Total auto34
TeleoperatedRed +19
19Coral scored#13
70Coral points45
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#6
12Processor points6
12Net points24
24Algae points30
94Total teleop75
Reef
9L4#7
7L3#5
5L2#3
4L1 · trough#4
30Game pieces#26
Bargelevel
24Cage & park24
24Total endgame24
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +25
0Foul points0
158Total score133

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4152
#12
70.42.8
62.465.2
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
blue by 14.7
4907
#10
85.10.5
77.077.5
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
1305
#17
31.82.8
27.330.0
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
blue by 3.8
7659
#32
35.60.5
29.530.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
Third
6632
#24
31.62.8
26.929.6
Auto5.1
Teleop18.9
End7.6
red by 9.6
6135
#43
22.00.5
18.919.4
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned84%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed13%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsEarned94%Barge oddsEarned