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Red126
403968.6
591242.6
965924.3
Blue104
503239.2
270629.8
747530.1
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1419750150200126104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+28Auto
+10Teleop
+22Endgame
+22Fouls
AutonomousRed +28
6Leave6
7Coral scored#1
34Coral points6
40Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +18
11Coral scored#17
38Coral points62
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
18Processor points12
16Net points16
34Algae points28
72Total teleop90
Reef
6L4#6
4L3#7
3L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
25Game pieces#24
BargeRed +12
14Cage & park2
14Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +22
0Foul points0
126Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.60.5
64.764.3
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
red by 29.4
5032
#30
39.20.1
30.330.4
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Second
5912
#39
42.60.5
41.440.9
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
red by 12.5
7475
#42
30.10.1
32.132.1
Auto3.6
Teleop24.8
End1.6
Third
9659
#27
24.30.5
18.217.7
Auto7.6
Teleop14.7
End1.9
blue by 5.6
2706
#36
29.80.1
29.129.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
93%Auto oddsEarned42%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
29%Coral oddsEarned11%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
25%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed