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Red141
611043.6
834928.7
978559.9
Blue107
219835.1
128539.7
571920.2
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132966080120140160180200220141107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+38Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
25Coral scored#15
89Coral points54
2Processor algae#2
4Net algae#5
12Processor points12
16Net points20
28Algae points32
117Total teleop86
Reef
11L4#8
7L3#3
6L2#2
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +34
2Foul points6
141Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59.90.7
48.549.3
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
red by 20.2
1285
#31
39.70.3
38.138.4
Auto7.6
Teleop31.2
End0.9
Second
6110
#35
43.60.7
35.236.0
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
red by 8.6
2198
#23
35.10.3
22.222.5
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
Third
8349
#15
28.70.7
24.024.7
Auto5.5
Teleop18.0
End5.1
red by 8.4
5719
#48DQ
20.20.3
20.721.0
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
84%Auto oddsEarned66%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
14%Coral oddsEarned22%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed29%Barge oddsMissed