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Red137
77115.5
888471.8
503130.4
Blue117
503628.7
926315.3
447676.1
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions123133050100150200250300350137117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+36Teleop
+26Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave6
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points17
30Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +29
22Coral scored#16
79Coral points56
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
12Processor points6
12Net points12
24Algae points18
103Total teleop74
Reef
9L4#10
9L3#4
4L2#3
5L1 · trough#2
32Game pieces#23
BargeBlue +10
4Cage & park14
4Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points6
137Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.81.7
67.268.9
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
blue by 4.4
76.10.4
74.474.1
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
Second
5031
#25
30.41.7
29.431.1
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
red by 1.7
5036
#22
28.70.4
27.827.4
Auto3.4
Teleop14.4
End10.9
Third
771
#49
15.51.7
14.616.3
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
red by 0.2
9263
#41
15.30.4
14.514.1
Auto4.0
Teleop11.4
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsEarned91%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
50%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
56%Barge oddsMissed78%Barge oddsEarned