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Qual 452025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red128
1055448.2
705824.1
752057.2
Blue130
926220.8
293556.4
136051.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12713150100150200128130

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+4Auto
0Teleop0
Endgame+2
Fouls+2
AutonomousRed +4
0Leave9
5Coral scored#3
27Coral points14
27Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +4
19Coral scored#17
67Coral points61
3Processor algae#2
3Net algae#7
18Processor points12
12Net points28
30Algae points40
97Total teleop101
Reef
9L4#8
7L3#5
5L2#4
3L1 · trough#3
30Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
0Foul points0
128Total score130

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7520
#20
57.20.5
53.3→53.8
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
red by 0.8
2935
#26
56.40.3
54.9→55.2
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Second
10554
#28
48.20.5
43.8→44.3
Auto7.6
Teleop39.2
End1.4
blue by 2.9
1360
#18
51.20.3
49.7→49.9
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Third
7058
#34
24.10.5
20.6→21.2
Auto8.6
Teleop13.2
End2.3
red by 3.3
9262
#40
20.80.3
18.5→18.8
Auto6.0
Teleop12.3
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsEarned74%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
69%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
16%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed