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Red170
502446.1
494044.1
888471.8
Blue151
490785.1
219835.1
713616.4
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions159122100150200170151

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+31Teleop
+19Endgame
+19Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
9Leave3
5Coral scored#5
24Coral points27
33Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +28
25Coral scored#22
89Coral points79
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#5
12Processor points6
32Net points20
44Algae points26
133Total teleop105
Reef
8L4#9
8L3#9
8L2#4
6L1 · trough#5
40Game pieces#33
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +19
0Foul points0
170Total score151

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
71.80.9
60.961.8
Auto18.3
Teleop47.1
End6.3
blue by 13.4
4907
#10
85.11.6
72.073.6
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
Second
5024
#14
46.10.9
36.237.1
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
red by 11.1
2198
#23
35.11.6
19.220.8
Auto7.6
Teleop24.1
End3.4
Third
44.10.9
38.239.1
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
red by 27.6
7136
#44
16.41.6
17.919.4
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned69%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
43%Coral oddsEarned8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed69%Barge oddsEarned