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Red150
752057.2
132567.7
368398.3
Blue110
571920.2
415270.4
77115.5
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2209950150200250300150110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+40Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
4Coral scored#4
18Coral points20
27Total auto20
TeleoperatedRed +35
17Coral scored#17
61Coral points60
2Processor algae#1
8Net algae#1
12Processor points6
32Net points4
44Algae points10
105Total teleop70
Reef
7L4#7
5L3#6
6L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
31Game pieces#23
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +40
2Foul points4
150Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.33.9
94.490.6
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 27.8
4152
#12
70.40.4
61.861.4
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Second
67.73.9
47.743.8
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
red by 47.4
5719
#48
20.20.4
23.222.8
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
Third
7520
#20
57.23.9
52.849.0
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
red by 41.6
771
#49
15.50.4
15.615.2
Auto2.6
Teleop11.9
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
95%Auto oddsMissed57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
89%Coral oddsEarned12%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsEarned79%Barge oddsEarned