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Red66
503130.4
713616.4
571920.2
Blue119
130531.8
978559.9
136051.2
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions751505010020025066119

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+42
Teleop+59
Endgame+59
Fouls+53
AutonomousBlue +42
9Leave9
0Coral scored#8
0Coral points42
9Total auto51
TeleoperatedBlue +17
8Coral scored#11
27Coral points40
2Processor algae#2
2Net algae#3
12Processor points12
8Net points12
20Algae points24
47Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#8
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
12Game pieces#24
Bargelevel
2Cage & park2
2Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
8Foul points2
66Total score119

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5031
#25
30.41.7
31.129.4
Auto5.0
Teleop24.6
End0.8
blue by 29.5
59.91.5
49.347.8
Auto14.0
Teleop42.9
End3.0
Second
5719
#48
20.21.7
21.019.3
Auto3.5
Teleop14.3
End2.5
blue by 30.9
1360
#18
51.21.5
49.948.5
Auto12.2
Teleop35.9
End3.0
Third
7136
#44
16.41.7
20.819.0
Auto4.0
Teleop12.2
End0.2
blue by 15.4
1305
#17
31.81.5
30.729.2
Auto10.8
Teleop19.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed85%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
18%Coral oddsMissed14%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsEarned26%Barge oddsMissed