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Red153
368398.3
873114.9
808941.6
Blue80
270629.8
1002719.4
285226.4
100%Model gave it0%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1887405010015020025015380

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+31Auto
+57Teleop
+69Endgame
+73Fouls
AutonomousRed +31
9Leave6
6Coral scored#1
31Coral points3
40Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +26
16Coral scored#14
57Coral points51
2Processor algae#0
6Net algae#4
12Processor points0
24Net points16
36Algae points16
93Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#6
6L3#3
4L2#4
6L1 · trough#2
30Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +73
4Foul points0
153Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
98.30.3
95.595.3
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 68.4
2706
#36
29.80.0
29.229.2
Auto4.1
Teleop25.3
End0.4
Second
8089
#19
41.60.3
33.533.3
Auto6.5
Teleop26.9
End8.2
red by 15.2
2852
#45
26.40.0
24.624.6
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
Third
8731
#37
14.90.3
17.717.5
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 4.5
19.40.0
21.421.4
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
89%Auto oddsEarned72%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
74%Coral oddsEarned6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned6%Barge oddsMissed