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Red172
270834.8
765935.6
403968.6
Blue110
494044.1
503239.2
1001521.5
94%Model gave it6%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16310550150200250172110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+62Teleop
+62Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
9Leave6
5Coral scored#1
24Coral points6
33Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +41
23Coral scored#16
83Coral points58
2Processor algae#2
7Net algae#3
12Processor points12
28Net points12
40Algae points24
123Total teleop82
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#7
8L2#3
7L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#22
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
0Foul points0
172Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
68.61.8
64.366.0
Auto20.1
Teleop42.5
End6.1
red by 24.6
44.10.1
39.439.3
Auto5.0
Teleop30.5
End8.5
Second
7659
#32
35.61.8
30.031.8
Auto4.4
Teleop21.3
End9.9
blue by 3.6
5032
#30
39.20.1
30.430.3
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Third
2708
#16
34.81.8
33.235.0
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
red by 13.4
21.50.1
17.817.6
Auto6.7
Teleop13.0
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
59%Coral oddsEarned10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
93%Barge oddsEarned57%Barge oddsEarned