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Red222
490785.1
124178.2
952528.8
Blue196
415270.4
132567.7
755874.8
48%Model gave it52%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1891950100300400500222196

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
+28Teleop
+30Endgame
+26Fouls
AutonomousBlue +4
0Leave3
12Coral scored#12
61Coral points62
61Total auto65
TeleoperatedRed +32
26Coral scored#20
95Coral points71
4Processor algae#4
6Net algae#4
24Processor points24
24Net points16
48Algae points40
143Total teleop111
Reef
15L4#14
11L3#8
8L2#5
4L1 · trough#5
48Game pieces#40
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +26
2Foul points6
222Total score196

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4907
#10
85.12.7
77.580.3
Auto20.8
Teleop54.1
End10.3
red by 10.4
74.80.3
66.466.7
Auto19.6
Teleop44.7
End10.5
Second
78.22.7
74.477.1
Auto22.0
Teleop53.6
End2.6
red by 7.7
4152
#12
70.40.3
65.265.5
Auto21.2
Teleop40.8
End8.5
Third
9525
#11
28.82.7
27.129.8
Auto7.0
Teleop19.7
End2.0
blue by 38.9
67.70.3
53.754.1
Auto19.0
Teleop43.5
End5.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
83%Coral oddsEarned66%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
85%Barge oddsEarned98%Barge oddsEarned