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Red88
613522.0
1021824.1
591242.6
Blue121
502446.1
775715.4
86558.7
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions921395015020025088121

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+29
Endgame+35
Fouls+33
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#5
16Coral points23
19Total auto26
TeleoperatedBlue +22
13Coral scored#17
45Coral points61
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
67Total teleop89
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#8
4L2#7
2L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +6
0Cage & park6
0Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +33
2Foul points0
88Total score121

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5912
#39
42.60.9
40.940.0
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
blue by 16.1
865
#13
58.70.8
53.552.7
Auto15.2
Teleop34.6
End8.9
Second
24.10.9
24.123.2
Auto6.1
Teleop16.1
End1.9
blue by 22.1
5024
#14
46.10.8
41.640.7
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
Third
6135
#43
22.00.9
19.418.5
Auto7.9
Teleop12.2
End1.9
red by 6.6
7757
#50
15.40.8
21.220.4
Auto4.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
96%Auto oddsEarned90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
13%Coral oddsMissed22%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed58%Barge oddsMissed