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Qual 552025 FIRST Ontario Provincial Championship - Science Division
Red170
368398.3
1002719.4
502446.1
Blue184
611043.6
447676.1
293556.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions174175140150160170180190200210170184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+4
Endgame+4
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave6
8Coral scored#6
42Coral points31
51Total auto37
TeleoperatedBlue +18
19Coral scored#23
69Coral points81
3Processor algae#4
4Net algae#4
18Processor points24
16Net points16
34Algae points40
103Total teleop121
Reef
11L4#13
6L3#7
6L2#6
4L1 · trough#3
34Game pieces#37
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
2Foul points12
170Total score184

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3683
#3
98.30.7
95.3→96.0
Auto26.5
Teleop66.3
End5.4
red by 22.1
4476
#8
76.10.5
74.1→74.5
Auto19.7
Teleop53.6
End2.9
Second
5024
#14
46.10.7
40.7→41.4
Auto13.0
Teleop28.8
End4.4
blue by 10.2
2935
#26
56.40.5
55.2→55.6
Auto10.3
Teleop41.3
End4.8
Third
10027
#46
19.40.7
21.4→22.1
Auto5.2
Teleop14.2
End-0.1
blue by 24.2
6110
#35
43.60.5
36.0→36.4
Auto5.5
Teleop35.6
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
97%Auto oddsEarned97%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
80%Coral oddsEarned69%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
30%Barge oddsEarned46%Barge oddsEarned