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Red130
285226.4
752057.2
873114.9
Blue144
591242.6
270834.8
503239.2
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions109123406080100140160180130144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
Teleop+14
Endgame+12
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +10
9Leave3
4Coral scored#3
21Coral points17
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +24
19Coral scored#20
68Coral points72
2Processor algae#4
4Net algae#6
12Processor points24
16Net points24
28Algae points48
96Total teleop120
Reef
8L4#9
7L3#6
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#5
29Game pieces#33
BargeRed +2
4Cage & park2
4Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points2
130Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
7520
#20
57.21.5
53.855.3
Auto18.6
Teleop36.3
End2.4
red by 14.6
5912
#39
42.61.5
40.041.5
Auto9.9
Teleop32.5
End0.2
Second
2852
#45
26.41.5
24.626.1
Auto6.1
Teleop18.6
End1.7
blue by 12.8
5032
#30
39.21.5
30.331.8
Auto5.1
Teleop33.6
End0.5
Third
8731
#37
14.91.5
17.519.0
Auto3.5
Teleop8.8
End2.6
blue by 19.9
2708
#16
34.81.5
35.036.5
Auto7.1
Teleop24.4
End3.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsEarned93%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
15%Coral oddsMissed36%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
13%Barge oddsMissed30%Barge oddsMissed